Stocks slide after economic warnings from Walmart, Home Depot

Stocks slide after economic warnings from Walmart, Home Depot

U.S. stocks plunged Tuesday as the prospect of increased-for-for a longer time fascination prices and letdowns from big-box stores dampened the mood on Wall Road to start a chaotic holiday getaway-shortened 7 days.

The U.S. inventory and bond marketplaces have been closed on Monday for Presidents Day.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) nosedived 2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, falling underneath the key 4,000 amount, even though the Dow Jones Industrial Ordinary (^DJI) drop nearly 700 details, or 2.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. The technologies-large Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) tanked 2.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

Buyers evaluated quarterly financials from Walmart (WMT) and the Household Depot (High definition) for updates on the health and fitness of the U.S. client, which has so considerably remained resilient in the deal with of stubbornly significant inflation — most a short while ago evidenced by January’s stunning retail product sales details out final week.

Walmart, on the other hand, warned Tuesday early morning that it was cautious about the outlook for the economy and mentioned clients pressured by inflation shopping for reduced-priced objects may well negatively impact margins. The retail big also issued entire-year earnings direction beneath Wall Street estimates. Shares shut a little greater after paring losses from early in the session.

“The customer is however quite pressured, and if you search at financial indicators, balance sheets are managing thinner and financial savings charges are declining relative to earlier periods,” Walmart chief financial officer John David Rainey mentioned during an earnings contact. “And so that’s why we consider a really careful outlook on the rest of the calendar year.”

MIAMI, FLORIDA - JANUARY 24: A worker stocks the shelves at a Walmart store on January 24, 2023 in Miami, Florida. Walmart
announced that it is raising its minimum wage for store employees in early March, store employees will make between $14 and $19 an hour. They currently earn between $12 and $18 an hour. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

MIAMI, FLORIDA – JANUARY 24: A employee stocks the cabinets at a Walmart store on January 24, 2023 in Miami, Florida. (Image by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

The image was identical for home improvement retailer The House Depot, which also described disappointing fourth quarter success and explained it was in for a demanding 2023. Shares slid 7.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

Speculative engineering stocks, which led the rally higher to start out the year, had been using a beating on Tuesday. Cathie Wood’s Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) plopped 6.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. Tesla (TSLA) spiraled down 5.3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} immediately after soaring for 6 back again-to-back months.

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson wrote in Tuesday morning note that “the bear current market rally that began in October from fair costs and low anticipations has morphed into a speculative frenzy primarily based on a Fed pause/pivot that isn’t coming.”

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Typical logged its third-straight dropping week for the very first time because September, closing down .1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} for the 5-working day trading period. The S&P 500 fell .3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} for the week, its next consecutive week in the red, though the Nasdaq was an outlier, notching a weekly attain of .6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

“Traders are waking up to the realization that clean curiosity level hikes will be necessary in the US — possibly as a lot of as 3 in speedy succession — to tame the price tag spiral and which is set to send out buyers more cautious,” Susannah Streeter, head of dollars and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, claimed in emailed feedback.

In other locations of the marketplace, Treasury yields ascended, with the benchmark 10-yr observe growing 12 basis factors to prime 3.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, the greatest amount since November. The U.S. dollar also superior.

“Rising rates thanks to the market’s repricing of a likely better for extended monetary policy route have weighed on possibility urge for food,” Adam Turnquist, chief complex strategist for LPL Economic said in a note. “Benchmark 10-calendar year Treasury yields have now cleared important resistance at 3.90{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, elevating upside danger in yields, which will most likely carry on to weigh on equities.”

A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 17, 2023.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

A trader performs on the floor of the New York Stock Trade (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 17, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Later in the week, Wall Street will get a readout of minutes from the Federal Open Marketplace Committee’s last conference earlier this thirty day period.

The release will offer clues about the upcoming price enhance in March, which some investors are now expecting to be 50 foundation details immediately after potent financial information and hotter-than-projected inflation readings.

Last week, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester explained she would have favored elevating fascination fees by 50 basis factors Feb. 1 instead than the smaller sized quarter-point amount boost her colleagues opted for.

Traders fretting above inflation and the route ahead for interest costs also await the Private Intake Expenditures (PCE) value index — the Fed’s most carefully watched assessment of how rapidly prices are mounting throughout the economy — which is set for launch Friday early morning.

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Comply with her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Stocks fall after Walmart profit warning

Stocks fall after Walmart profit warning

U.S. stocks tumbled on Tuesday immediately after Walmart’s (WMT) earnings warning Monday night and forward of a rush of tech earnings and the Fed’s most up-to-date policy statement on Wednesday.

At the closing bell, the benchmark S&P 500 dropped 1.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, whilst the Dow fell some .7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

The tech-large Nasdaq fell 1.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, the index’s third-straight dropping session and the 3rd-straight day losses for the Nasdaq have outpaced individuals suffered by the S&P and Dow.

Shares of Walmart (WMT) fell about 7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} following the retail giant slashed its second quarter and comprehensive-yr revenue outlooks late Monday, citing rampant inflation and a ensuing pullback in shopper shelling out on discretionary merchandise.

“The escalating amounts of foodstuff and fuel inflation are influencing how customers commit, and although we have made excellent development clearing hardline types, apparel in Walmart U.S. is requiring additional markdown dollars,” Walmart CEO Doug McMillon in a assertion. “We’re now anticipating extra tension on standard merchandise in the again 50 percent however, we’re inspired by the begin we’re viewing on school materials in Walmart U.S.”

Walmart’s warning despatched dragged down other retailers. Amazon (AMZN), Goal (TGT), and Dollar Typical (DG) just about every fell as significantly as 5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, 4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, and 3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, respectively.

Shopify’s (Store) inventory nosedived virtually 16{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} soon after the e-commerce huge said it was laying off about 10{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of its world workforce following a selecting increase to satisfy pandemic demand for on the web procuring.

“It is now distinct that guess did not pay back off,” CEO Tobi Lutke said in a statement. “What we see now is the mix reverting to around wherever pre-Covid details would have proposed it really should be at this issue.”

Also weighing on sentiment was a disappointing report from Normal Motors (GM) early Tuesday that confirmed 2nd-quarter effects fell quick of Wall Road estimates. The Detroit-centered automaker saw its web revenue fall 40{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} from a 12 months in the past for the duration of the period and claimed it unsuccessful to supply 95,000 autos thanks to portion shortages. Shares fell practically as much as 3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

Elsewhere in markets, UBS (UBS) shares fell as a lot as 12{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} following the Swiss lender described a lesser quarterly revenue than analyst anticipated as marketplace volatility weighed on financial investment banking revenues and the monetary establishment warned of a challenging second fifty percent of the 12 months.

In economic news, the Global Monetary Fund more downgraded its forecast for world advancement this calendar year and warned of a “gloomy and more uncertain” amid even worse-than-envisioned inflation. The firm now initiatives the world economic climate will increase by only 3.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} this year, a downgrade from the 3.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} it had earlier forecast in April when it lower anticipations for 2022 to 3.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} from 4.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

Federal Reserve officials also kicked off their two-working day coverage meeting Tuesday and are expected to elevate curiosity charges a different 75 foundation factors at its summary Wednesday afternoon.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to produce remarks at 2:30 p.m. ET shortly immediately after the U.S. central bank’s coverage choice will come out at 2:00 p.m. ET.

WASHINGTON, DC - JUNE 22: Jerome Powell, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System testifies before the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee June 22, 2022 in Washington, DC. Powell testified on the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress during the hearing. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, DC – JUNE 22: Jerome Powell, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Process testifies ahead of the Senate Banking, Housing, and City Affairs Committee June 22, 2022 in Washington, DC. Powell testified on the Semiannual Financial Plan Report to Congress through the hearing. (Image by Acquire McNamee/Getty Images)

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Adhere to her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Walmart warning sends stock price plunging, renews recession worries

Walmart warning sends stock price plunging, renews recession worries

Walmart just gave all the recession mongers on Wall Street a enormous adrenaline shot in the collective arm.

The world’s biggest retailer slashed its next quarter and whole-12 months earnings outlooks late Monday owing to rampant inflation and a client retrenchment.

Here is in which Walmart stands in comparison to its advice made available in mid-May perhaps:

  • Next Quarter Internet gross sales Advancement: +7.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} (+5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} formerly)

  • Second Quarter Working Cash flow: -13{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to -14{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} (flat to up a little)

  • Second Quarter EPS: -8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to -9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} (flat to up marginally)

  • Complete 12 months EPS: -11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to -13{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} (-1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996})

Walmart shares plunged 9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in immediately after-hrs trading.

“The growing concentrations of foods and fuel inflation are influencing how customers devote, and while we’ve produced good development clearing hardline groups, clothing in Walmart U.S. is necessitating extra markdown pounds,” Walmart CEO Doug McMillon in a assertion. “We’re now anticipating much more strain on general products in the back again 50 percent nevertheless, we’re encouraged by the get started we’re looking at on college materials in Walmart U.S.”

Walmart declined to make CEO Doug McMillon or CFO John Rainey offered for an interview.

The Bentonville Bruiser now joins a growing list of family title shops looking at their profits beneath siege from brutal inflation in transportation and items with minor space to pass on people increased expenditures to increasingly funds-strapped purchasers.

Clouds are pictured from the Morgantown Walmart parking lot minutes after a tornado touches down in Morgantown on Tuesday, May 28, 2019.  (Photo By Natalie Kolb/MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images)

Clouds are pictured from the Morgantown Walmart parking lot minutes just after a tornado touches down in Morgantown on Tuesday, May possibly 28, 2019. (Photograph By Natalie Kolb/MediaNews Group/Examining Eagle through Getty Illustrations or photos)

In early June, Walmart’s most important rival Target kicked off issues about the retail sector’s health with a stunning selection to liquidate significant amounts of gradual-shifting stock and consider a far more careful perspective on near-phrase gains. It could get several quarters for Concentrate on to very clear extra inventory, execs have warned.

Due to the fact Target’s bombshell, discretionary stores these kinds of as RH, Bed Bathtub & Beyond, and Kohl’s have issued economical warnings for their second-quarter results.

“I have in no way — it’s possible I do not recall — viewed as a lot discounting with as substantially products with significant percents off,” retail legend and former CEO of Gap and J. Crew Mickey Drexler informed Yahoo Finance Are living last 7 days.

Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-big and anchor at Yahoo Finance. Observe Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.

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Top Wall Street analysts say buy Amazon & Walmart

Top Wall Street analysts say buy Amazon & Walmart

The Amazon emblem is seen at the firm logistics center in Lauwin-Planque, northern France.

Pascal Rossignol | Reuters

Stocks have been unstable more than the final two months, and the way ahead is searching tumultuous.

Traders are contending with an array of elements that have shaken economic marketplaces, and conflict in Eastern Europe is the newest catalyst. Additional, the Federal Reserve is expected to carry on its thrust from inflation and begin boosting fascination fees.

Investors with a extended-expression way of thinking are wanting to Wall Street’s major analysts to spotlight their preferred inventory picks to outlast the most current bout of volatility.

The execs have chosen 5 stocks with promising fundamentals, according to TipRanks, which tracks the best-executing analysts.

Amazon  

A person of the world’s largest merchants is steadily reworking by itself into a full-provider platform. Amazon (AMZN) has been dabbling across several substantial-growth industries, and it is continue to going through potent company efficiency even with the slowdown in e-commerce. The engineering conglomerate’s growth is continuing to be pushed by Amazon World wide web Companies and its Amazon Primary application. Even more, the company a short while ago declared it will open a actual-environment garments retail store afterwards this year. (See Amazon Web page Targeted traffic on TipRanks) 

In a current report, Ivan Feinseth of Tigress Economical Associates printed that Amazon’s powerful earnings final results had been boosted by vacation purchasing and customer gains from its marketing and cloud products and services. He noted that Amazon Prime’s membership cost was elevated to $139, and that the business has been seriously investing in warehouses and other logistical infrastructure to convey its retail small business nearer to more homes.  

Feinseth rated the inventory a Purchase, and he elevated his cost focus on to $4,655 from $4,460.  

The analyst highlighted Amazon’s turn towards the brick-and-mortar attire retail house, as the firm intends to combine its on line and offline abilities to maximize clothing product sales. Buyers will be able to utilize a “large-tech dressing room system making use of touchscreens” in the outlets, disrupting recent searching encounters.  

Amazon Key Movie has expanded its articles slate with significant investments, this sort of as its acquisitions of MGM Studios and the “Lord of the Rings” franchise. The platform is a major participant in the streaming wars and instructions a formidable industry share.  

Feinseth was concrete in his bullish speculation, arguing that the current decrease in share rate is “a big getting prospect.”  

Out of additional than 7,000 analysts on TipRanks, Feinseth ranks as No. 63. He has been prosperous rating shares 67{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the time, and he has an average return for every rating of 30.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.  

Walmart  

The pandemic did small to sluggish down Walmart (WMT), and now it seems the organization is rising even stronger than ahead of. The retail corporation a short while ago claimed sturdy quarterly earnings effects, beating Wall Road consensus estimates on earnings for every share and gross margins. Digitization and automation traits have boosted effectiveness across the firm, and it has observed strong exercise in excess of a number of revenue streams. (See Walmart Earnings Knowledge on TipRanks) 

Robert Drbul of Guggenheim Companions pointed out this in his write-up-earnings report. He stated that Walmart’s gross margins ended up driven by “value administration on price tag boosts, combine, and rising advertising and marketing business.”  

Drbul rated the stock a Buy, and he assigned a selling price concentrate on of $185.  

Walmart has been actively repurchasing inventory, getting again about $2.4 billion previous quarter, totaling $9.8 billion for FY2021. This kind of worth returned to shareholders is specifically what best analysts like to see in a nutritious organization.  

The analyst thinks that “Walmart’s price tag management and operational excellence, as very well as a extra diversified income base, led by a developing market and fulfillment solutions, marketing, fiscal products and services, knowledge monetization, and its health and fitness-care featuring lead to a constructive extended-expression outlook.” 

Drbul is rated as No. 86 out of around 7,000 analysts in TipRanks’ databases. He has been suitable 69{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the time when finding shares, and he has returned 29{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} on average when accomplishing so.  

Household Depot  

Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, many individuals took to investing in their living areas and do-it-yourself tasks. This bumped up shares like House Depot (High definition). Now, the property enhancement retailer is battling from its tricky quarterly comparisons as the pandemic wanes, although it is keeping its ground and may even poised for upside, in accordance to Zachary Fadem of Wells Fargo.  

He wrote that HD’s shares “are due for some relief” just after the company projected a promising outlook for the 12 months. Moreover, full income were being up 10.7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} calendar year-around-12 months, a strong indicator of development in spite of absence of authorities mandated lockdowns. (See The Household Depot Insider Buying and selling Exercise on TipRanks) 

Fadem rated the stock a Acquire and declared a value goal of $460. 

The analyst identified many driving things for Household Depot’s development, namely the superior-traveling housing marketplace. In the lengthy-expression, he is encouraged by the millennial generation transferring up to family development.  

Shares of High definition have slid extra than 23{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in 2022, but Fadem seems to see this now as extra of a discounted option relatively than a sinking liability.  

TipRanks has far more than 7,000 analysts in its ranks, and Fadem now sits at No. 58. He has been thriving when score shares 64{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the time, and he has averaged returns of 44.3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} on each and every one particular.  

SoFi Technologies 

About a month immediately after clearing a crucial hurdle towards turning into a financial institution, SoFi (SOFI) introduced its secured  acquisition of digital banking platform Technisys. The monetary products and services tech firm has experienced a risky two several years as a publicly traded firm, viewing its valuation shoot up and down multitudes of its first price tag. The surroundings triggered by uncomplicated credit history and substantial liquidity is expected to wind down as the Federal Reserve tightens financial policy, nevertheless analysts continue being overwhelmingly bullish on SOFI.  

The organization offers money items by way of its cellular and desktop platforms, and its banking capacities are envisioned to be boosted by the absorption of Technisys. (See SoFi Stock Charts on TipRanks) 

This is the impression of analyst David Chiaverini of Wedbush Securities, who famous that the $1.1 billion offer could “support SoFi attain its purpose of getting to be the ‘Amazon Net Providers of Fintech.'” Also, SOFI will have the capability to innovate far more effectively, release new solutions, and streamline its decision-making capabilities.  

Chiaverini rated the stock a Acquire, and he reiterated his rate goal of $20.  

The analyst claimed that the merger could guide to supplemental profits streams and cross-advertising chances, anticipating that the deal could carry in $500 million to $800 million extra in revenues by the finish of 2025.  

Chiaverini wrote that with Technisys, “the system will incorporate with Galileo to turn into the only company, for every management, that offers a customizable, multi-product main economical platform with equally UX/ UI streamlining and payment processing capabilities in one particular tech stack.” 

Chiaverini now maintains a position of No. 355 out of much more than 7,000 skilled analysts on TipRanks. His achievements rate stands at 70{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, and he has averaged returns of 29.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} on every of his stock picks.  

Palo Alto Networks  

The biggest cybersecurity business by market place cap, Palo Alto Networks (PANW) not too long ago launched its strong quarterly results, demonstrating continued momentum for its solutions and the marketplace at huge.  

Noting this progress is Shaul Eyal of Cowen, who noted that the company conquer Wall Road consensus estimates on its revenues, as nicely as its raised direction. He attributed the progress to “reliable execution into a sturdy desire surroundings with a sophisticated risk surroundings as a backdrop.” 

Eyal reiterated his Purchase score on PANW, and managed his value target at $620 for every share.  

The analyst reported that far more consumers have been upgrading to the platform’s overall giving, and that greater, extra strong offers are boosting general performance for the company. Eyal mentioned PANW’s execution of its enterprise product, and highlighted the macro traits acting as tailwinds for the firm. (See Palo Alto Networks Chance Assessment on TipRanks) 

Pandemic-induced shifts toward distant get the job done and the bigger digital transformation look listed here to stay, Covid-19 or not. These changes have made a favorable desire ambiance for Palo Alto Networks.  

Out of around 7,000 qualified analysts, Eyal ranks as No. 14. He has been exact when rating shares 74{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the time, and he has introduced in 53.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} on average for each inventory decide.  

S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq end slightly lower as investors look ahead to retail sales, Walmart earnings

Stocks traded mixed on Monday as investors monitored upbeat economic data out of China and awaited key retail sales and earnings results out from major U.S. companies later this week. 

The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq struggled for direction after opening decidedly higher. Boeing (BA) shares rose after the aircraft-maker’s head of commercial airplanes told Bloomberg he was “hopeful” that China would resume orders of the 737 Max soon following more than two years of grounding. The company also said it booked a number of orders following the 2021 Dubai Airshow, including for two 777 Freighters with Emirates.

Stronger-than-expected economic data out of China also helped lift traders’ sentiment at the start of the week. The world’s second-largest economy saw both retail sales and industrial production unexpectedly accelerate in October over last year, suggesting the economic impact from multiple COVID-19 waves and stay-in-place restrictions was beginning to ease. However, new-home prices in China fell by about 0.25{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in October versus September, marking the biggest drop in more than six years as the country’s real estate market came under continued pressure. 

Investors this week are also set to receive new data from the Commerce Department on U.S. retail sales. The report is likely to show a 1.3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} month-on-month jump in sales for October after a more sanguine 0.7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} rise in September. And retail earnings results from major names including Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), Home Depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW) will offer additional details on the state of the consumer. 

For U.S. stocks, last week marked a brief pause after a record-setting run-up. The S&P 500 posted a weekly decline for the first time in six weeks, but remained within 0.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of its all-time intraday high as of Friday’s close. The Dow and Nasdaq were also not far off from their own record levels. 

A hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) last week tempered some of investors’ ebullience for equities, and suggested heightened inflationary pressures were stickier than previously expected. The CPI jumped by a greater-than-expected 6.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in October compared to the prior year, marking the fastest annual rise since 1990. Meanwhile, the latest print on U.S. job openings came in higher-than-expected to a near-record high of more than 10.4 million, and a separate report showed consumer sentiment deteriorated early this month as Americans nervously eyed rising prices. 

The jump in inflation carries implications both for consumers’ personal finances and for monetary policy. 

“The surge in core inflation in October marks the start of a run of big gains, thanks to surging used auto prices, rebounding airline fares, and faster increases in housing costs,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note Monday. “We think core inflation will peak at almost 7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in March, which will pose a serious challenge to the Fed’s benign medium-term view. Chair [Jerome] Powell will have to convince markets that the combination of rocketing payrolls and soaring inflation does not threaten the transitory story, to which he appears still to be committed.” 

Though the Federal Reserve has maintained current inflationary pressures will be temporary, sustained increases of these elevated magnitudes could prompt a quicker-than-previously-expected hike to interest rates, which would in turn impact a variety of asset classes.

“We remain of the view that the Fed will start to hike in September, but a June hike can’t be ruled out. If labor participation shows no sign of life by the March FOMC meeting, we expect the Fed to accelerate the taper and then hike in June. This would play badly across all asset markets,” Shepherdson added. “Treasury yields still have to rise, but rising real yields due to strong non-inflationary growth are vastly preferable to rising inflation expectations. High-multiple stocks and loss-making tech would be vulnerable even in the benign scenario, but cyclicals would outperform.” 

4:06 p.m. ET: S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq end slightly lower as investors look ahead to retail sales, Walmart earnings

Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:06 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -0.05 (-0.00{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to 4,682.80

  • Dow (^DJI): -12.86 (-0.04{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to 36,087.45

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -7.11 (-0.04{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to 15,853.85

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.10 (+0.12{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $80.89 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$3.00 (-0.16{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $1,865.50 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +4.1 bps to yield 1.6230{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}

3:02 p.m. ET: U.S. sees oil output in Permian Basin reaching record next month

U.S. crude oil output from the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico is set to jump to a record 4.95 million barrels per day in December, a new government forecast showed on Monday. This would bring production in the key U.S. shale patch well above its pre-pandemic average from March 2020.

Crude oil prices have so far been on a tear for the year-to-date, with a rapid surge in energy demand taking place as vaccinations occurred and mobility picked up. The government report Monday reaffirms that more supply may be taking place domestically in the near-term, helping to put a ceiling on prices after a 66{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} run-up in WTI crude so far this year.  

“Supply has to come back to the marketplace here,” Scott Bauer, CEO of Prosper Trading Academy, told Yahoo Finance Live earlier on Monday. “The good sign is for right now, is, oil rigs, the amount of rigs that get counted out there, that is rising. It actually rose by 6 last week. It’s the highest level that we’ve seen in about a year-and-a-half, so that means that maybe there will be some more drilling out there.”

9:52 a.m. ET: Empire Manufacturing index rebounds in November to top expectations

The regional Empire Manufacturing index for New York state jumped far more than expected in November after sliding in October, with a pick-up in employment at goods-producing firms helping buoy results.

The broadest business activity index for the region rose to 30.9 in November from 19.8 in October, exceeding estimates for 22.0, according to Bloomberg data. 

Beneath the headline index, employment grew at its fastest pace on record and the average workweek rose, according to the survey. However, in a sign of persistent supply-related disruptions and inflationary pressures, unfilled orders increased, and an index tracking prices paid held near a record high.

9:37 a.m. ET: Oatly shares slide by 20{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} after missing Q3 sales, cutting forecast

Oatly (OTLY) slumped by 20{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} Monday morning after posting third-quarter sales that sharply missed estimates and cutting its guidance for the year, as supply-chain and virus-related disruptions weighed on the oat milk-maker’s results. 

Revenue came in at $171.1 million in the third quarter, falling short of expectations for $185.7 million, based on Bloomberg data. The company now also sees revenue coming in at more than $635 million for the year, or down from its previous forecast for more than $690 million. 

“In EMEA, we are starting to build supply to meet consumer demand, but the pace at which we expected to increase revenue in new and existing retailers and to open new markets is slower than we anticipated as we navigate a dynamic COVID operating environment,” Oatly said in its earnings report. “We believe this is primarily a timing issue and in the first half of 2022, we expect to have an increased share of shelf space at retail given our strong velocities and current supply levels.” 

“In the Americas, we are pleased with the weekly production output improvements at our Ogden, Utah facility to-date in the fourth quarter, as we navigate a challenging supply chain environment,” the company added. “Finally, in Asia strict public health measures remain in effect due to an increase in cases of the COVID-19 Delta-variant. We are closely monitoring the situation and remain focused on the health and safety of our team.” 

9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks kick off the week in trading on a high note

Here’s where markets were trading after the opening bell on Monday:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): 4,692.44, +9.59 (+0.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996})

  • Dow (^DJI): 36,128.83, +28.52 (+0.08{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996})

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): 15,891.14, +32.35 (+0.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996})

  • Crude (CL=F): -$1.04 (-1.29{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $79.75 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$3.00 (-0.16{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $1,865.50 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -0.9 bps to yield 1.582{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}

7:20 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures point to a higher open

Here’s where markets were trading Monday morning: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +10.5 points (+0.22{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}), to 4,688.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +102 points (+0.28{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}), to 36,115.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +40.75 points (+0.25{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to 16,233.50

  • Crude (CL=F): -$1.13 (-1.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $79.66 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$2.30 (-0.12{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}) to $1,866.20 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -2.9 bps to yield 1.555{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2021.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 20, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter