2 big market risks for 2022, according to Bank of America

Markets should be wary of high inflation and the potential spread of new COVID variants in 2022, a new Bank of America (BAC) report warns.

“Future COVID waves are the biggest downside risk,” the report noted. “On the upside, the supply-side wakes up to meet the gains in demand.”

Authored by several Bank of America Global Research economists, the report mainly focuses on the various threats to the global economy in 2022 and beyond.

Among these economic risks are high inflation rates, the spread of variants like the recent Omicron strain, climate change, and supply constraints.

The emergence of the Omicron variant in November left its mark on markets at the end of last month, with the Dow Jones falling over 1500 points the week following Thanksgiving.

Earlier this month, World Health Organization chief scientist Soumya Swaminathan spoke at the Reuters NEXT Conference where she emphasized the variant’s high transmissibility and noted that it could one day become the dominant COVID strain around the world.

The report found that the unprecedented fiscal stimulus enacted by the federal government to counter COVID-related economic issues should ensure that “the U.S. will resume its role as an engine of global growth, while China will be a reluctant laggard.”

China-US relations were a cause for concern for the global economy as well, the authors wrote in the report. “There is also considerable uncertainty about how relations between China and the West will develop. A rapid unravelling of economic interlinkages could trigger a global recession.”

Even if the new COVID variants which emerge in the next year are controlled to the utmost extent, inflation concerns still might make for a murky future for US economic growth.

Trader John Romolo works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Thursday, Dec. 2, 2021. Stocks are opening mostly higher on Wall Street Thursday as investors continue to monitor the spread of the new coronavirus variant as well as measures that the U.S. and other governments are taking to restrain it. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Trader John Romolo works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Thursday, Dec. 2, 2021. Stocks are opening mostly higher on Wall Street Thursday as investors continue to monitor the spread of the new coronavirus variant as well as measures that the U.S. and other governments are taking to restrain it. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)

A ranking from the report of 10 different currencies from around the world found that the U.S. had the highest inflation score, at 46. It was followed by the New Zealand dollar, at 38, and the Great Britain Pound, at 37.

“It’s been a bit nerve wracking to watch the recent very strong inflation readings,” the report noted. “In the summer, most of the increase was driven by spikes in specific sectors, but in the last few months the pressure has moved into the middle of the inflation distribution … Relative to a year ago, we have raised our global CPI inflation forecast for this year from 2.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to 3.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} and for next year from 2.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to 3.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.”

Overall, inflation should cool, even in the U.S. The CPI was 6.2{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in October, continuing the rampant inflation not seen domestically in decades. Although this rate of inflation may subside slightly, Bank of America Global Research cautioned that inflation may still be a significant issue for the economy in the short run. BofA’s Chief US Economist Michelle Meyer and VP Alexander Lin wrote that three rate hikes in 2022 were very possible, looking forward.

“Inflation will cool from the current highs but remain well above target, leaving the Fed to move into action,” the report predicted. “While 2021 was a story of excess demand and a dearth of supply, we think 2022 will be one of rebalancing, albeit only gradually. This should take some of the heat off of inflation but not quickly enough, leaving the Fed to hike three times starting in June and continuing on a quarterly cadence.”

Ihsaan Fanusie is a writer at Yahoo Finance. Follow him on Twitter @IFanusie.

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Bank of America, PayPal, Cisco Systems, Deere and United Airlines

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 22, 2021 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Bank of America Corporation BAC, PayPal Holdings, Inc. PYPL, Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO, Deere & Company DE and United Airlines Holdings, Inc. UAL.

Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:

Top Research Reports for Bank of America, PayPal & Cisco Systems

The Zacks Research Daily presents the best research output of our analyst team. Today’s Research Daily features new research reports on 16 major stocks, including Bank of America, PayPal and Cisco Systems. These research reports have been hand-picked from the roughly 70 reports published by our analyst team today.

You can see all of today’s research reports here >>>

Shares of Bank of America have outperformed the Zacks Banks – Major Regional industry over the past year (+72.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} vs. +54.0{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}). The Zacks analyst believes the company’s third-quarter 2021 results reflect solid revenue growth, a rise in loan demand, and improving capital markets performance.

Opening of new branches, enhancing digital capabilities and initiatives to manage expenses along with a strong balance sheet and liquidity position will continue supporting its financials. The company will keep enhancing shareholder value through impressive capital deployment activities.

However, lower interest rates and the Federal Reserve’s decision to not change the same in near term are expected to keep hurting the company’s margins and interest income. Normalization of the trading business is likely to hurt fee income growth to some extent.

(You can read the full research report on Bank of America here >>>)

Shares of PayPal have outperformed the Zacks Internet – Software industry over the past year (+4.0{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} vs. -2.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}). PayPal reported third quarter results wherein both earnings and revenues grew year over year. The Zacks analyst believes that strong growth in total payments volume owing to increasing net new active accounts drove the top line.

Strengthening customer engagement was positive. Also, solid performance by Venmo and merchant services contributed well to the TPV growth. Additionally, the boom in digital payment owing to the coronavirus pandemic, remains a tailwind. Also, solid momentum across peer to peer and PayPal Checkout experiences is a tailwind.

However, intensifying competition in the digital payment market poses a serious risk to the company’s market position. Also, foreign exchange headwinds remain concerns.

(You can read the full research report on PayPal here >>>)

Shares of Cisco Systems have outperformed the Zacks Computer – Networking industry in the year to date period (+19.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} vs. +18.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}). The Zacks analyst believes that Cisco’s performance is benefitting from strength in its switching solutions, especially Catalyst 9000 switches. Ongoing momentum in Webex on account of COVID-19 induced work-from-home demand environment remains noteworthy. Robust adoption of the company’s subscription-based offerings acted as a tailwind.

However, management cautioned that the ongoing component shortages and resultant supply chain issues will continue in the first half of fiscal 2022 and might carry on in the remaining half. Weak demand for servers is an added concern.

(You can read the full research report on Cisco Systems here >>>)

Other noteworthy reports we are featuring today include Deere and United Airlines.

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Are Institutions Heavily Invested In Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings’ (NYSE:LH) Shares?

The big shareholder groups in Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (NYSE:LH) have power over the company. Institutions will often hold stock in bigger companies, and we expect to see insiders owning a noticeable percentage of the smaller ones. Companies that used to be publicly owned tend to have lower insider ownership.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings has a market capitalization of US$27b, so it’s too big to fly under the radar. We’d expect to see both institutions and retail investors owning a portion of the company. Our analysis of the ownership of the company, below, shows that institutions own shares in the company. Let’s take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings.

View our latest analysis for Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings

ownership-breakdown

ownership-breakdown

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it’s included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can’t rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there’s always a risk that they are in a ‘crowded trade’. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings’ historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there’s always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth

earnings-and-revenue-growth

Institutional investors own over 50{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. We note that hedge funds don’t have a meaningful investment in Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings. The Vanguard Group, Inc. is currently the largest shareholder, with 11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 4.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} by the third-largest shareholder.

Looking at the shareholder registry, we can see that 50{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the ownership is controlled by the top 24 shareholders, meaning that no single shareholder has a majority interest in the ownership.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock’s expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our information suggests that Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings insiders own under 1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the company. It is a very large company, so it would be surprising to see insiders own a large proportion of the company. Though their holding amounts to less than 1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, we can see that board members collectively own US$144m worth of shares (at current prices). Arguably recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public– including retail investors — own 10{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} stake in the company, and hence can’t easily be ignored. While this group can’t necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

It’s always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we’ve discovered 2 warning signs for Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

Axos Clearing Poaches CFO From Securities America

Omaha, Neb.–based Securities The united states, an unbiased broker/seller owned by Advisor Group, has lost one more top rated executive, with David Vaughan stepping down as chief economic officer to be part of Axos Clearing in a similar purpose.

Vaughan did not reply to a LinkedIn request for comment by press time.

At Securities The united states, exactly where Vaughan had been for 27 many years, he was responsible for economical reporting, forecasting, planning and hazard administration.

David Vaughan

David Vaughan

“We wish David all the best likely forward. Advisor Team and Securities The united states have a sturdy and deep bench of company finance gurus who have seamlessly absorbed his responsibilities,” explained Joseph Kuo, a spokesperson for Advisor Team, in a statement.

Securities The usa was earlier owned by Ladenburg Thalmann, which was acquired by Advisor Group in 2019. Immediately after the offer was finish, Advisor Group folded a few Ladenburg b/ds, Investacorp, Securities Company Network (SSN) and KMS Money Expert services, into Securities The united states.

Due to the fact the merger, equally Securities America and Advisor Team have viewed leadership shuffling at the top.

Paul Lofties, senior vice president of prosperity administration for Securities The united states and its former dad or mum company Ladenburg Thalmann, left the agency in December of past year, to join CEG All over the world as an advisor coach.

Final March, Advisor Group introduced a sequence of large-level hires, which include Greg Cornick, president of suggestions and prosperity management, who came over from LPL Fiscal. Matthew Schlueter was appointed president, items and platforms to oversee the firm’s expenditure banking providers, Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Administration, its belief office via Premier Belief and Highland Funds Brokerage, the firm’s insurance policy brokerage company.

Also at that time, Securities America’s head of branch place of work improvement, Gregg Johnson, was promoted to government vice president of recruiting and revenue acquisition. But Johnson recently still left the agency, and Kristen Kimmell, previous head of advisor recruiting and area advertising and marketing at RBC, was tapped to take on his duties, in addition to an expanded position.

Securities The us also not long ago restructured its supervision department. As a consequence, Greg Smith, senior vice president of supervision and member of Securities America’s govt leadership crew, remaining the organization after approximately a decade, as did Paul Krause, regional director of gross sales supervision.

In September, Advisor Group missing Main Advertising Officer Susan Theder, who joined FMG Suite, the advisor marketing platform that powers Advisor Group’s MyCMO supplying, as CMO and main expertise officer.

Colt expands capital markets offering into Latin America

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Colt Technology Solutions currently announced that it is growing its capital marketplaces presenting into Latin America, giving customers from the United states, Europe and APAC price tag successful, very low latency access to B3 – one particular of the world’s greatest monetary marketplace infrastructure firms and the largest in the area – via Colt PrizmNet.&#13

By continuing to fortify its protection in the Americas, Colt is offering worldwide capital current market info suppliers and buying and selling firms with easier, a lot more value-effective obtain to crucial venues in the region. This expansion can make Colt one of the very first economical extranet companies to provide obtain to B3 from all of its 30+ World-wide PrizmNet PoPs and trade colocation venues and to on net customers throughout its international money markets ecosystem of 160+ exchanges, venues and provider companies, and 10,000+ contributors.
Buyers from throughout the world can now simply obtain connectivity, trading and market facts throughout various asset courses from this vital world market. The financial expert services marketplace in the region has professional substantial growth in current decades, with Brazilian money markets going through a time period of enlargement, and extra than 44 providers listing on the Brazilian Inventory Trade this yr, in contrast to 28 in 2020. The selection of retail traders has also grown considerably, from 700,000 in 2018 to more than 3.8 million this yr.

Colt’s Section Director, Funds Marketplaces & Asia, Matthew Reinholds, mentioned: “The economic expert services industry in Latin The usa has undergone a quick digital transformation, with sizeable expenditure in FinTech and the relevant architecture. The trend in Latin The usa mirrors that getting area across the environment, where by low-latency connections among economic hubs are altering the way money industry details vendors and trading firms obtain to the world funds markets ecosystem. As these marketplaces proceed to mature, demand for connectivity to essential sector venues has risen, together with the need for trusted very low latency entry to sector data and buying and selling – and, that’s precisely what we’re offering with our growth of Colt PrizmNet into the region and access to B3.”

Colt PrizmNet is a world-wide financial extranet that provides deterministic very low latencies for offering information, software, material and economic services globally to companies in the US, Europe and APAC. PrizmNet also gives a scalable, secure, and reputable platform to rapidly join and aid current market individuals in areas such as multi-industry buying and selling, info, finest execution and algo screening.

Colt PrizmNet is underpinned by the Colt IQ Network – a 100Gbps optimised clever network – dispersed to additional than 29,000 on web structures, 900 data centres and hundreds of details network connection factors about the globe. With overall flexibility and agility to meet up with the market’s demands, Colt continues to enrich its connectivity providing to ensure its industry management across the planet.