Why bitcoin may face another 20{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} plunge in coming weeks, as ‘risk is heightened,’ says prominent technical analyst: ‘We’re watching $37,000.’

Hello, there! I’m stepping in this week for MarketWatch’s crypto reporter Frances Yue.

I’ll walk you through the latest and greatest in digital assets this week so far, as we enter the week before an important meeting of the Federal Reserve and consider its possible impact on bitcoin and other crypto, if any. We’ll also talk about the whipsawing weekend that was and what to expect from here.

Send tips, or feedback, and find us on Twitter at @mdecambre or @FrancesYue_.

But most important, sign up here to get Distributed Ledger delivered fresh to your inbox weekly!

Crypto movers
Biggest Gainers

Price

{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} 7-day Return

Near Protocol (NEAR)

$9.24

12.42

Terra (LUNA)

$67.26

6.95

BitTorrent (BTT)

$0.003313

5.57

UNUS SED LEO (LEO)

$3.70

4.3

Huobi Token (HT)

$9.86

2.54

Source: CoinMarketCap.com of the top 100 as of Dec. 9

Biggest Decliners

Price

{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} 7-day Return

Kadena (KDA)

$10.48

-36.83

Qtum (QTUM)

$10.01

-33.26

THORChain (RUNE)

$7.13

-32.39

Fantom (FTM)

$1.45

-30.50

THETA (THETA)

$4.44

-30.26

Source: CoinMarketCap.com of the top 100 as of Dec. 9

After the crypto crash?

MarketWatch’s Distributed Ledger spoke to Katie Stockton, founder of technical analysis firm Fairfield Strategies, about the crash in crypto over the past weekend. The declines took bitcoin
BTCUSD
to around $42,000 and Ether
ETHUSD
on the Ethereum blockchain to around $3,500 before those digital assets bounced back.

Although Fairlead is fairly bullish long term, over the next six months or so, on the crypto sector, including bitcoin and Ether, Stockton said that some considerable damage had been done to the uptrend in the short to intermediate-term, based on her analysis.

A short-term breakdown in trend was confirmed on Sunday, when bitcoin failed to return to its recent support at $53,000 based on the September high and now that it is hanging well below that level—it was trading at $47,702 on CoinDesk, down 5.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}—another support level of $44,000 needs to be the next point to monitor, with the $37,000 serving as secondary technical support area.

“We feel that risk is heightened near term and even over the next two months or so,” Stockton said.

The popular analyst who uses chart models and gauges of momentum to forecast moves in assets from stocks to crypto said that she feels that the support level for bitcoin at $44,000 will likely be breached and the secondary support level, which defines the recent uptrend in bitcoin, will be a pivotal area for investors to watch in recent trade.

So is there cause to worry about another flash crash? Stockton says that it’s impossible to know for sure but believes that much of the tumble that took place in the wee hours of last Saturday are likely flushed out of the system since it was underpinned by unwinding in derivatives.

Certainly the bulls are hoping that is the case.

Crypto goes to Washington

MarketWatch’s Chris Matthews covered a highly anticipated testimony from some of the biggest names in crypto in front of Washington lawmakers.

Crypto execs, including those from popular digital-asset exchange Coinbase Global Inc.
COIN,
made the case that their technologies hold promise for the future, and that the growth of their more than $2 trillion industry shouldn’t be impeded by wrongheaded legislation.

The nascent industry is hoping to push Congress to create a new regulatory framework for digital assets that could help them avoid a costly showdown with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

“A successful policy framework would allow crypto platforms to offer both spot and derivatives trading on crypto assets under one unified system, with one rule book and one technology platform to manage risks related to all trading activity in customer accounts,” said Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of FTX, told the House Financial Services Hearing on crypto markets.

Officials from Circle Internet Financial Ltd., issuer of a stablecoin crypto, bitcoin-mining firm Bitfury Group Ltd., cryptocurrency-payments system, Stellar Development Foundation, and blockchain firm Paxos Trust Co. also testified.

The Wall Street Journal reported that one of the main concerns among those lawmakers wary of crypto is that its rapid growth poses a threat to financial stability, is rife with fraud and manipulation, and isn’t environmentally friendly since mining virtual coins uses lots of real energy.

Crypto shares

In crypto-related company trading, shares of Coinbase Global Inc. traded down 9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $287 Thursday afternoon. It was down 1.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} for the past five trading sessions. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy Inc.
MSTR
 traded 6.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} lower on Thursday to $595.58, and was down 5.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over the past five days.

Mining company Riot Blockchain Inc.
RIOT
shares fell 9.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $26, contributing to an 6.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} loss over the past five days. Shares of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc.
MARA
were down nearly 11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to 41.72, but were up 0.3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over the past five days. Another miner Ebang International Holdings Inc
EBON.
fell 7{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $1.33, but was up 2.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over the past five days.

Overstock.com Inc
OSTK.
 traded down 3.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $78.57. The shares went down 2.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over the five-session period.

Square Inc.’s shares
SQ
fell 4.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $186.85, paring its week-to-date gain to 3.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. Tesla Inc.’s shares
TSLA
 traded down 5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $1,015, trading flat for the week.

PayPal Holdings Inc.
PYPL
 fell 2.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $192.72, while it recorded a 4.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} gain over the five-session stretch. NVIDIA Corp.
NVDA
meanwhile, slumped 3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $308.72, but was looking at a 0.6{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} advance over the past five days.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
AMD
 was off 4.3{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} to $139.04 and logged a 3.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} loss over the past five trading days, as of Thursday afternoon.

In the fund space, ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BITO
were 6.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} lower to $30.29 Thursday, and was down nearly 11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} for the week thus far, while Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF
BTF
was down 5.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, with a week-to-date skid of nearly 11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF
XBTF
fell 6.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} and was showing a nearly 11{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} weekly drop, as of Thursday afternoon.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
GBTC
 was trading to $37.44, off 7.1{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} late-afternoon Thursday, heading for a weekly loss of 10.5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}.

Read: Grayscale Investment wants its largest bitcoin trust to be an ETF. A miscue briefly made its wish come true.

Must reads

New Virus Restrictions in Britain Worry Businesses

LONDON — On Thursday morning, a group of 50 called to cancel their holiday party booked for that evening at Luc’s Brasserie, a French restaurant in the financial district of Britain’s capital. That same morning, a group of 21 canceled their party too, also for Thursday night.

The previous night, Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that stricter Covid measures were coming, and the impact was immediate for Darrin Jacobs, the owner of Luc’s. There had been a “multitude of cancellations,” he said.

But thanks to a waiting list of reservations, he said, the restaurant was still fully booked until Christmas. And many of the canceled bookings had optimistically rescheduled their celebrations for early next year.

“We won’t lose the business, we’ll just move the business on,” Mr. Jacobs said. But “it’s not easy because we’ve already bought food and moved staff around,” he said.

For months, businesses across Britain have been desperately trying to maneuver around supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and rising costs as they emerged from various stages of lockdown.

Offices reopened, which filled up commuter buses and trains; restaurants and pubs advertised to host holiday parties; and lines grew longer at city center coffee shops.

Now, the emergence of the fast-spreading Omicron variant has unexpectedly dealt those efforts a blow. The government has revived coronavirus restrictions that are likely to weigh on hospitality and travel businesses during the critical holiday season and put a dent in the economy.

“I don’t know where this is going to go next week,” Mr. Jacobs said. “I think this is a tip of the iceberg-type scenario and it may get a lot worse next week and, if that’s the case, we’ll really have to scale it back.”

For now, he’s still cautiously optimistic. But his business relies on people who work in nearby offices and walk to his restaurant in Leadenhall Market, especially several insurance companies. On Thursday, Mr. Jacobs heard that two large companies were closing their offices again.

In England beginning Friday, face masks will be required in most indoor public places including cinemas and theaters. Starting Monday, people who can work from home should. And starting in the middle of next week, passes showing vaccination or a recent negative Covid test will be required for large events and nightclubs, Mr. Johnson announced this week. The rules will be voted on in Parliament next week. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have set their own measures, which are slightly stricter.

“Unless you go to a full or partial lockdown, the effect of the measures themselves will be rather small,” said Paul Mortimer-Lee, the deputy director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research in London. “What will be hurting the economy is individuals’ responses.” People are likely to take more precautions to protect themselves from the virus, especially by socializing less.

While the rules are relatively light, for some businesses this will be an unwelcome retreat.

Before the Omicron variant was discovered, the British economy was losing some momentum while prices were rising rapidly, putting inflation at its highest level in nearly a decade. Gross domestic product grew 1.3 percent in the third quarter, down from 5.5 percent in the previous three months. And that growth was driven by spending on services, especially in hotels, restaurants and entertainment as the last of the major pandemic restrictions were lifted in the summer. In October, economic expansion slowed sharply, to just 0.1 percent from the previous month.

Now, there are early indications that restaurant reservations are declining and Christmas parties are being canceled.

Restaurants, cafes and shops primarily serving office workers were contending with the lost trade from hybrid working but had at least seen a notable return of workers. Some 70 percent of British workers said they had traveled to work at least some days each week in early December, according to the Office for National Statistics, up from about 50 percent earlier in the year, when the country was under a strict lockdown.

Sales at Pret A Manger, the coffee and sandwich chain whose shops tend to be clustered around office hubs and transport locations, only returned to prepandemic levels about two weeks ago. Now those sales are starting to slip again.

“Christmas has been canceled for many City shops, restaurants, pubs and other businesses that rely on footfall from workers in nearby offices,” Catherine McGuinness, the policy chairwoman of the City of London Corporation, which governs the capital’s financial district, said in a statement.

Her organization will encourage workers and businesses to follow the new rules but said the government needed to lay out a road map for lifting the restrictions again in the new year, Ms. McGuinness said.

The new measures will also complicate the next steps for the Bank of England. Policymakers at the central bank had been preparing to raise interest rates in response to inflation, provided unemployment remained low. Some analysts believed an increase could come as soon as next week. But the potential for Omicron to further slow the economy makes it harder to justify tightening monetary policy.

The extra uncertainty could dampen productivity and employment growth, according to Mr. Mortimer-Lee. It’s likely to make companies more cautious about hiring and investment, especially businesses that rely on face-to-face interactions, like restaurants. Also, high case numbers will keep children out of schools and parents away from their jobs.

“It’s those millions of individual decisions, rather than Boris Johnson’s decision, that’s going to affect the economy,” said Mr. Mortimer-Lee. “And none of it’s going to be good.”

Even before the latest measures, hotels were seeing about a fifth of their corporate bookings canceled, according to UKHospitality, an industry lobby group, after the government required travelers into Britain to take a Covid test within two days of arriving, and isolate until receiving the results. Christmas bookings weren’t as strong as they traditionally are for hospitality businesses in a quarter that usually brings in about 40 percent of the industry’s annual revenue.

And so, the industry is asking for relief from business rates (a type of tax on commercial properties), more grants, rent protection and an extension of the reductions on VAT, a sales tax. “Anything less would prove catastrophic,” Kate Nicholls, the chief executive of UKHospitality, said in a statement.

The latest measures have been particularly disappointing for nightclubs, one of the last businesses allowed to reopen earlier this year. The Night Time Industries Association said Covid passes have been damaging to their industry in the parts of Britain where they were already in place.

Michael Kill, the chief executive of the lobbying group, said businesses were experiencing a “honeymoon period” since reopening in the summer and were trying to rebuild cash reserves before the quieter months at the start of the year.

“We’re now seeing some concern around cancellations and ticket purchases hesitancy,” Mr. Kill said. “These sorts of things that are leaving people in a vulnerable position, because many of them stocked up and purchased and staffed for a busy Christmas period.”

The group accused the government of enacting the changes to draw attention away from public fury over accusations that the prime minister’s staff broke lockdown rules by holding an office party last Christmas.

“It feels that nightclubs and bars have been thrown under the bus by the prime minister for him to save his own skin,” Mr. Kill said in a statement on Wednesday.

Zoe Announces Their Partnership With Forum Financial

NEW YORK, Dec. 10, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Zoe, a digital wealth platform that connects clients with fiduciary financial advisors, just announced a new partner joining their exclusive advisor Network. Zoe has a rigorous vetting process that ensures that clients are meticulously connected only with wealth managers among the top 5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of the country. RIAs that partner with Zoe are characterized by the high-quality, personalized, and unbiased advice they provide to their clients. 

To continue transforming the wealth management experience, Zoe recently partnered with Forum Financial Management, an RIA that uses a client-driven, consultative approach to create comprehensive wealth plans that are consistent with each client’s risk tolerance, stage of life, and financial objectives. Forum was named one of the 300 Top RIAs in the country by the 2020 Financial Times report. 

Forum’s commitment to their clients’ long-term goals is noteworthy. Progress is measured holistically, encompassing both investment account performance alongside evolution towards personal financial goals. Their dedicated team of experienced advisors has decades of experience in wealth management and their personal approach begins with understanding the hopes and dreams each client places in the center of their financial life. Registered in 2009, Forum has helped more than 4,000 clients and managed over $6 billion AUM for them. Clients will now be able to match with Forum Financial advisors through the Zoe Network. 

“We believe that holistic wealth management is the best approach to help clients achieve their long-term goals. We are excited to work with the Zoe Financial Network to help more individuals and their families reach their life goals by making better financial decisions,” said Jonathan Rogers, CFP®, Co-Managing Partner at Forum. 

“Since we founded Zoe, we’ve committed to connecting clients only with the best advisors in the country. Partnering with RIAs such as Forum Financial Management makes sense, fundamentally, we share the belief that hiring a financial advisor is based on trust, integrity, and confidence. We’re thrilled that clients will now be able to connect and start working with them through our network,” said Andres Garcia-Amaya, Founder & CEO of Zoe Financial about the recent partnership.

Learn more about Zoe at www.zoefin.com.

Learn more about Forum Financial at https://www.forumfin.com/.

About Zoe 

Zoe was founded with one mission: to empower consumers to make better financial decisions. The company’s algorithm removes the friction from choosing a financial advisor, offering a technology-driven marketplace that provides matches based on your unique financial objectives and connects you with Zoe Certified Financial Advisors across the United States. Zoe’s thoughtfully curated network of independent, fiduciary, financial advisors and financial planners includes only the top 5{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in the country. 

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Broadcom stock jumps as more than half of Street analysts hike price targets

Broadcom Inc. shares were on track for their best day in more than a year and a half Friday after more than half the analysts covering the chip and software company hiked their price targets on the stock following strong results and big plans to return cash to shareholders.

Broadcom
AVGO,
+8.27{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}
shares were last up 7.4{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} at $626.36, after touching an intraday high of $644.75, and were on track for their best performing day since April 6, 2020, when they closed up 7.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} at $252.44.

Late Thursday, Broadcom not only topped Wall Street expectations for the quarter and provided a strong outlook but also it announced a $10 billion share buyback it expects to complete in a little more than a year and hiked its dividend 14{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. With more than $12 billion in cash on the company’s books and growing, Broadcom Chief Executive Hock Tan told analysts, “It’s just a very logical conclusion for us to not just sit on the cash,” given a lack of recent acquisitions from a company that has been heavily into M&A over the past few years.

Back in July, talks to buy software company SAS Institute Inc. fell apart, and the company hasn’t had a big deal since it closed on the acquisition of Symantec’s enterprise security business two years ago following acquisitions of CA Inc. and Brocade in previous years.

Of the 32 analysts who cover Broadcom, 27 have buy ratings, four have hold ratings, and one has a sell rating. Of those, 18 hiked their price targets, resulting in an average target of $664.72, up from a previous $578.93, according to FactSet data.

Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, who has an outperform rating and hiked his price target to $725 from $560, characterized Broadcom’s report as “What’s not to like here?”

“While enjoying solid upside in their core markets the company has high and, potentially, more stable visibility given how they are proactively managing their bookings and demand as they parse their orders to minimize risks of customer stockpiling,” Rasgon said.

“Cash generation and return is stellar, with enough [free cash flow] to still leave M&A on the table even with the sizeable 2022 buyback (a positive in our opinion as we remain partial to their acquisition strategy),” Rasgon said.

See another $10 billion buyback: Oracle’s stock jumps 10{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} on sales, earnings beat

Citi Research analyst Christopher Danley, who has a buy rating and raised his price target to $685 from $585, on the basis that “Broadcom continues to see robust demand for its networking and storage products due to strength from the enterprise and cloud end markets.”

Susquehanna Financial analyst Christopher Rolland, who has a positive rating and a $680 price target, said that while near-term result were “as expected,” the company provided “solid guidance as Networking fires on all cylinders,” while “Cloud and Enterprise to accelerate while 5G rides the tide.”

Additionally, Rolland called the buyback and dividend hike results of how “management scours for a decent use of cash.”

Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh, who has a buy rating and a $665 price target, said he was surprised by the $10 billion buyback, but had expected more along the lines of $6 billion to $8 billion.

Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis, who has a buy rating and hiked his price target to $720 from $590, said he estimates that Broadcom will be “returning greater than 100{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} of net income to shareholders in 2022.” 

“AVGO trades a 35{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} discount to SOX, has solid visibility, a 2.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} div yield and is entering a capital return cycle,” Lipacis said.

Over the past 12 months, shares of Broadcom have gained 53{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}. In comparison, the S&P 500 index 
SPX,
+0.95{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}
has advanced 28{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index 
COMP,
+0.73{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}
has risen 26{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index 
SOX,
+0.91{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}
has grown 43{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over that time.

These 2 things are going to bring down inflation in the coming months: Biden aide

This week saw two key pieces of economic data: the lowest number of jobless claims since September 1969 and the highest inflation since June 1982.

Jared Bernstein, longtime economic aide to President Biden, was keen to drop some trivia on the more flattering number, noting “‘Honky Tonk Woman’ by the Rolling Stones was topping the charts” the last time jobless claims were this low.

What was left unmentioned was that “Ebony and Ivory” was the most popular song the last time inflation was this high. On those price challenges, Bernstein said the wheels are in motion to curb price pressures in the coming months. In fact, he said, gas prices are already down and “we fully expect [these lower prices] to show up in the December report.”

He added that “part of what is happening here is the president asking the Federal Trade Commission to make sure [oil companies] aren’t engaging in any anti-competitive behavior” as well as “the largest ever release from our strategic petroleum reserve.”

President Joe Biden speaks during his meeting with members of the White House Covid-19 Response Team on the latest developments related to the Omicron variant in the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, DC, December 9, 2021. (Photo by Nicholas Kamm / AFP) (Photo by NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP via Getty Images)

President Joe Biden speaks Thursday during a meeting with members of the White House Covid-19 Response Team. (Nicholas Kamm / AFP via Getty Images)

AAA noted this week that gas prices have fallen in recent days to levels not seen since August. It attributed the downward pressure more to COVID-19 and fears of an economic slowdown linked to the omicron variant.

In a statement Friday, Biden also focused on energy prices, saying recent moves “should translate into lower prices for Americans in the months ahead.”

The Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index increased 0.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in November adding up to a 6.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} increase over last year. Another measure, the so-called core CPI which excludes food and energy prices, jumped by 4.9{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} over last year, also marking the fastest increase in decades.

Republicans were quick to jump on the numbers with the Republican House Ways and Means leader, Rep. Kevin Brady (R., Texas), calling it ”another grim report for American workers and families whose paychecks are shrinking month after month due to President Biden’s inflation-friendly policies.”

A second factor: Supply chains

Easing supply chain logjams will help drive down prices in the coming months, and Biden is “detailing his team to do everything we can to help unsnarl supply chains,” Bernstein told Yahoo Finance. 

Bernstein is currently a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers and has had a long relationship with Biden on economic issues. From 2009 to 2011, he served as the chief economic adviser to then-Vice President Biden during the Obama administration.

The White House’s Port Action Plan, is working and “virtually every forecast I’ve seen has some of these supply chain snarls easing as demand for goods rebalances [and] demand for services come up and that takes pressure off the supply chain and that takes some pressure off of inflation,” he said.

Kroll Institute Global Chief Economist Megan Greene told Yahoo Finance that much of the inflation was indeed caused by pent-up demand for goods, but Friday’s report “says nothing about whether we’re going to continue to buy goods once this pandemic is contained rather than services.”

‘The heart of Bidenomics’

LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 02: A person paddle boards near shipping containers stacked on a container ship at the Port of Long Beach on December 2, 2021 in Long Beach, California. The Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach have delayed a plan for a fourth time to charge shippers fees for container storage as a backlog of aging cargo at the ports has decreased 37 percent since last month.  (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

A container ship at the Port of Long Beach waits to be unloaded last week in California. A backlog of aging cargo at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach has decreased 37 percent since last month. (Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Bernstein returned repeatedly to the most recent jobless claims numbers to celebrate how, in his view, the tight job market is helping “lower-income people have a fair shot at claiming some of the economic growth.”

Wage growth, he said, is “beating inflation by a fair bit.”

“If you look at the lowest-wage workers – the bottom 25{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} – their pace is beating inflation as well,” Bernstein said.

While inflation has eaten deeply into wage gains, economists have found earnings rising the fastest recently for the lowest-paid workers, with the lowest-wage workers beating inflation.

“We have just very, very strong labor demand in this economy and particularly strong for low-wage workers,” said Bernstein. “That is at the heart of Bidenomics.”

Ben Werschkul is a writer and producer for Yahoo Finance in Washington, DC.

US inflation jumps 6.8{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} in November — fastest rate in 39 years

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Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation — Moody’s affirms Berkshire Hathaway’s Aa2 senior debt rating, stable outlook

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Rating Action:

Moody’s affirms Berkshire Hathaway’s Aa2 senior debt

rating, stable outlook

10 December 2021

New York, December 10, 2021 – Moody’s Investors Service has affirmed the Aa2 senior unsecured

debt rating and Prime-1 short-term issuer rating of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Berkshire, NYSE: BRK)

as well as the ratings on subsidiary debts that are unconditionally and irrevocably guaranteed by

Berkshire (see list below). The rating outlook for Berkshire is stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
According to Moody’s, the rating affirmation reflects Berkshire’s extraordinarily well capitalized

(re)insurance operations, its highly diversified earnings and cash flow from regulated and non-

regulated businesses, and its conservative financial policy, by which it maintains of a large liquidity

pool and moderate financial leverage. Partly offsetting these strengths are potential earnings

and capital volatility related to the company’s large, concentrated stock investments and its large

individual (re)insurance transactions. Other challenges include enterprise risk management given

the vast business portfolio, and leadership succession given the critical role CEO Warren Buffett has

played in developing Berkshire’s culture and financial performance.
Berkshire reported net operating earnings of $20.2 billion for the first nine months of 2021, up

19{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} versus the prior year period, reflecting strong double-digit increases in the railroad, utilities

and energy, and manufacturing, service and retailing segments, partly offset by a double-digit

decline in the (re)insurance segment. The year-to-date decline in (re)insurance results reflects

lower underwriting income, partly because of higher catastrophe losses, along with slightly lower

investment income. Moody’s expects that Berkshire will benefit from the recovering economy in 2022

and will continue to grow its operating earnings, cash flow and capital base over time.
As of September 30, 2021, Berkshire had consolidated cash and equivalents totaling $149 billion, a

majority held within the (re)insurance segment. The company had total borrowings of $115 billion, a

majority issued by the railroad and utilities and energy segments. Consolidated total leverage, which

incorporates all reported debt plus Moody’s adjustments for pensions and leases, was about 20{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} at

September 30, 2021, within Moody’s rating expectations. Berkshire generates healthy pretax interest

coverage, averaging more than 10 times over the past five years. The company holds at least $30

billion of cash and equivalents at or readily available to the parent to address potential needs or

opportunities.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of Berkshire’s ratings include (i) meaningful improvement in

standalone credit profiles of major operating units, and (ii) continued holdings of substantial cash and

equivalents at or readily available to the parent company relative to outstanding indebtedness.
Factors that could lead to a rating downgrade include: (i) meaningful deterioration in standalone

credit profiles(s) of one or more major operating units, (ii) a shift towards a less conservative

financial profile (for example, total consolidated leverage exceeding 30{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}, or total leverage excluding

railroad, utilities and energy exceeding 15{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996}), (iii) losses from (re)insurance underwriting and/or

investments causing a 15{21df340e03e388cc75c411746d1a214f72c176b221768b7ada42b4d751988996} decline in shareholders’ equity in a given year, or (iv) a significant

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decline in cash and equivalents at or readily available to the parent (for example, declining toward

$30 billion, which management cites as a minimum balance).
Moody’s has affirmed the following ratings:
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. — long-term issuer rating and senior unsecured debt at Aa2, senior

unsecured shelf at (P)Aa2, short-term issuer rating at Prime-1;
Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation — backed senior unsecured debt at Aa2, backed senior

unsecured shelf at (P)Aa2;
The Lubrizol Corporation — backed senior unsecured debt at Aa2;
Precision Castparts Corp. — backed senior unsecured debt at Aa2.
The rating outlook for these companies is stable.
The methodologies used in these ratings were Property and Casualty Insurers

Methodology published in September 2021 and available at

https://www.moodys.com/

researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_1254163

, and Reinsurers Methodology published

in November 2019 and available at

https://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?

docid=PBC_1187551

. Alternatively, please see the Rating Methodologies page on www.moodys.com

for a copy of these methodologies.
Based in Omaha, Nebraska, Berkshire is a holding company engaged through subsidiaries in

diversified businesses that fall into four broad segments: (re)insurance; railroad; utilities and

energy; and manufacturing, service and retailing. Berkshire also holds sizable minority interests in

several publicly traded firms through its portfolio of common stocks, held mainly by its (re)insurance

subsidiaries. Berkshire generated total revenue of $204 billion, net operating earnings of $20.2

billion, and net income attributable to Berkshire of $50.1 billion for the first nine months of 2021.

The main differences between net income and operating earnings are that net income includes

unrealized gains on stock investments plus a smaller amount of realized investment gains. Berkshire

had total assets of $921 billion and Berkshire shareholders’ equity of $472 billion as of September

30, 2021.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody’s key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see

the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions in the disclosure

form. Moody’s Rating Symbols and Definitions can be found at:

https://www.moodys.com/

researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?docid=PBC_79004

.

For ratings issued on a program, series, category/class of debt or security this announcement

provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or

note of the same series, category/class of debt, security or pursuant to a program for which the

ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody’s rating practices.

For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures

in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit

rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider’s credit rating.

For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the

provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent

to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not

changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the

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rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective

issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies)

of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the

associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach

exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated

entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
The ratings have been disclosed to the rated entity or its designated agent(s) and issued with no

amendment resulting from that disclosure.
These ratings are solicited. Please refer to Moody’s Policy for Designating and Assigning Unsolicited

Credit Ratings available on its website www.moodys.com.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the

related rating outlook or rating review.
Moody’s general principles for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in

our credit analysis can be found at

http://www.moodys.com/researchdocumentcontentpage.aspx?

docid=PBC_1288235

.

The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody’s

affiliates outside the EU and is endorsed by Moody’s Deutschland GmbH, An der Welle 5, Frankfurt

am Main 60322, Germany, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No

1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the

Moody’s office that issued the credit rating is available on www.moodys.com.
The Global Scale Credit Rating on this Credit Rating Announcement was issued by one of Moody’s

affiliates outside the UK and is endorsed by Moody’s Investors Service Limited, One Canada

Square, Canary Wharf, London E14 5FA under the law applicable to credit rating agencies in the UK.

Further information on the UK endorsement status and on the Moody’s office that issued the credit

rating is available on www.moodys.com.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the

Moody’s legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory

disclosures for each credit rating.
Bruce Ballentine

VP-Sr Credit Officer

Financial Institutions Group

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc.

250 Greenwich Street

New York, NY 10007

U.S.A.

JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376

Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Sarah Hibler

Associate Managing Director

Financial Institutions Group

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JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376

Client Service: 1 212 553 1653
Releasing Office:

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc.

250 Greenwich Street

New York, NY 10007

U.S.A.

JOURNALISTS: 1 212 553 0376

Client Service: 1 212 553 1653

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